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Needs_o2
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 09:22 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Aesquire,

Still believing the 630,000 FROM Covid?

PCR tests only showed that someone was sick and not what they had.

I'll premise this with, I am not looking to you for these answer, so this question is rhetorical.

What are the real survival rates from Covid for a middle age male, with no co-morbidity issues, and a healthy diet?

MY GUESS would be, unbelievably HIGH!

This is the point I've been trying to make through the entire conversation; there are those that are high risk and should strongly consider the shot, but otherwise, why risk the still UNKNOWN risks from the shot regardless of the FDA's hasty, questionable, politically driven approval.
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Needs_o2
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 09:24 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

One more point made by someone else.

"I'm still waiting for the WHO, CDC, Fauci, and media to explain to me how COVID cases have exploded worldwide since the vaccine was introduced."
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Ducbsa
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 09:28 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/08/t he_good_newsa_covid19_update.html
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Needs_o2
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 09:39 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Wow Ducbsa,
You beat Aesquire to the punch on that one!

Science + data, go figure!
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Aesquire
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 12:03 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Still believing the 630,000 FROM Covid?

I Don't believe uncritically any number. It's from the CDC. You want odds, and I assume the most pessimistic case, which means use the largest number for dead by Covid. Neither you nor I know if 500,000 or 365,000 is a better number. But we both bet 630,000+ is "overly generous".

It's still, imho, more "accurate" than "case numbers" which are based on tests that can give false positives if you change the number of cycles in software. Or if you prefer, the number dead is obviously inflated for political purposes. The number of cases is completely fictional.

What are the real survival rates from Covid for a middle age male, with no co-morbidity issues, and a healthy diet?

MY GUESS would be, unbelievably HIGH!


Your guess is good. 99+%. Less than 1% chance of dying. That's using CDC official numbers ( which we agree are high ) and census numbers ( which are low because of illegals ).

I use standard aeronautical engineering practice. Idiot reporters might call it Worst Case. I assume the limits must apply across the entire system.

If I build an airplane to not break, I have to calculate based on max weight. And not just the wings, but everything like motor mounts ( engine falling out is a fail ) and seat supports. ( pilot falling out is a fail ) then apply a multiplier to account for imperfections.

So your 99+% answer is conservative. Some will claim a higher number, like 99.94%, which might be closer, but doesn't disagree.

You have a less than 1 in a hundred chance of dying from the CCP Coronavirus of 2019.

Might be 1 in a thousand. Doubt it's 1 in a million.

Wish I could get closer, but we both know why I don't. Better than 99% is pretty solid. How much better I don't know.

And I don't see any major errors in the "good news" editorial Ducbsa posted above. Our numbers are different because our assumptions are different. But the editorial doesn't Disagree that your odds are better than 99% of not dying of CCP plague '19.
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Aesquire
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 12:19 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

333 million people in US. Per census. I think that's low by several tens of millions, but can't prove it so I'll use that number.

1 in a million odds work out to 333 dead.
1 in a thousand = 333,000 dead.

Claim by CDC is near twice that.

333 I don't buy. Even with the so called Media lying daily, compulsively, sociopathic and hell bent on supporting evil, that's too low. Cuomo killed way more... 30 times more.

... still waiting for the WHO, CDC, Fauci, and media to explain to me how COVID cases have exploded worldwide since the vaccine was introduced.

I can explain. Simple. More testing, more cases.

Then there are the lies about everything, but you don't need to agree or disagree on who is lying and how much. Simply more testing, more cases is undeniable.
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86129squids
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 12:41 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

I speak only from facts I know to be true. So, take from it what you will. I am neither friend nor enemy.

Hands washed.
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86129squids
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 12:54 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Seriously, I do give a $hit about you guys. Take care of yourselves, and one another.
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86129squids
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 12:55 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)


sadf
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Needs_o2
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 02:20 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Squids,

When you say you speak only from facts, who determines that they are indeed facts, you?

I do care for all those here as well, and that is exactly why these discussions/debates are good and necessary.

I have blind faith in no human on this planet and that includes myself!

(Message edited by needs o2 on August 25, 2021)
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86129squids
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 03:19 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Well put. I worry too much. Hopefully one day we will ride together, maybe get some BBQ and a beer. Internet forums cannot replace true cameraderie.

Carry on.
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Needs_o2
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 03:21 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

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Aesquire
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 05:21 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

BBQ!
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Aesquire
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 05:34 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

https://9gag.com/gag/aXoOdVz

The good news is, 'Muricans don't have it bad at all compared to some other places. Other than the nice troops directing people at the Vaccine Arena, ( and I don't envy them dealing with the Public. I worked Retail ) I haven't had the Army tell me to get off the streets.
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Needs_o2
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 05:54 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

This is a great event that we love to go to every year, but of course couldn't go for the last to years thanks to Covid!

Hopefully it will be up and running next year, but not optimistic about our local leaders.

"Highest" and highest sanctioned BBQ challenge in the country.

Great BBQ, great music, great weather, great local beer, and incredible views!





https://www.townoffrisco.com/event/festival-events/colorado-bbq-challenge/

(Message edited by needs o2 on August 25, 2021)
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Tpehak
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 06:15 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Looks like great coronavirus party
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Aesquire
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 06:21 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

MIGHT BE OFFENSIVE!!@!!!!!!!

https://9gag.com/gag/arMLBn7
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Hootowl
Posted on Wednesday, August 25, 2021 - 09:48 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Like a good leftist, Fauci blames the Jews.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/orthodox-jewish-r abbis-condemn-dr-faucis

This, no doubt, earns him points in some circles.
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Aesquire
Posted on Thursday, August 26, 2021 - 01:29 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2021/08/desan tis_strikes_back_at_ap_over_covid_treatment.html

Good news! Approved drugs to save your life!

We'll see if they are allowed by those who think you won't get vaccinated if you think you might not need to Obey Them.

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/08/t he_bad_and_the_ugly_about_covid_in_america.html
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Zane
Posted on Thursday, August 26, 2021 - 01:44 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Have you heard the rumor? Right now Walmart is giving out the Pfizer vaccine but starting next month they will stop using Pfizer and start giving people the Great Value version...
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Aesquire
Posted on Thursday, August 26, 2021 - 01:44 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

I feel obligated to point out that the American Thinker article is an editorial, and not to be used as the final word on medical treatment.

They are biased, and often sensationalist, and alarmist. That I might share their bias towards Responsibility and freedom and against Tyranny and slavery, doesn't mean I endorse or believe everything they say, and neither should you.

OTOH, given a choice between the LA or NY Times and American Thinker... Or Cave Paintings... I know who I'd trust more.
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Ebutch
Posted on Thursday, August 26, 2021 - 01:57 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)



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Aesquire
Posted on Friday, August 27, 2021 - 09:25 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2021/08/the -geek-in-pictures-covid-stan-edition.php

Here's some charts. ; )
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Needs_o2
Posted on Friday, August 27, 2021 - 10:47 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

HOLY CRAP!!!

Covid CONCENTRATION CAMPS for REAL!!!

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/global-c ovid-19/shielding-approach-humanitarian.html
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Aesquire
Posted on Friday, August 27, 2021 - 11:09 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Looks mostly like common sense to me. Separate the troublesome from the threatened is a classic approach.

I point out from the opening section This approach has never been documented and has raised questions and concerns among humanitarian partners...

Actually there's lots of documentation, just check the Holocaust Museums around the world.

I'm not surprised at concerns. I am a bit surprised it's mentioned.
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Aesquire
Posted on Saturday, August 28, 2021 - 01:09 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/08/c oog30gmailcom_how_informed_consent_became_coercion _of_the_uninformed.html

As it happens, I am taking TV Drug. Which one doesn't matter, just that the ads are on heavy rotation on TV shows that have audiences old and fat and sick enough to need drugs to live.

And I'm grateful that there are multiple choices for a drug to treat most conditions, even if your insurance doesn't cover all of them. As I've mentioned before, different people have different reactions to medication. ( and food, and... ) So it's a GOOD thing that there's more options.

I often joke about TV Drugs. The lady riding a bicycle smiling, the man picking up a child, camping tents and sunsets, all intended to imply life will be great if only you take TV Drug! I don't joke about that, it's too meta for civilians.

I joke about the disclaimer. My absolute favorite line is one EVERY DRUG ON TV has, "do not take TV Drug if you are allergic to TV Drug." Well, duh.

But it's boilerplate. Lawsuit armor. I get that, but it's funny and sad that the implied stupidity is too real.

I also "love" ( for sarcasm reasons ) the incredibly horrid side effects. It is the disproportionate nature that's funny.

If the TV Drug is for Cancer or Heart Disease, then "you might have suicidal thoughts" or "may cause kidney failure" are kinda expected if you know anything about medication at all. Serious life saving drugs must do Serious work, thus Serious risk.

If it's for acne, or male pattern baldness, then warnings like "may cause Tuberculosis" or "sudden death" just seem excessive. I'm sure the risk is really low, or hope so, ; ) but it's CYA and everything kills somebody.

That Tuberculosis warning is serious though, I've already said statistics don't matter to the grieving. Hey, I'm glad there's hope for future generations not to be called Pizza face. Kids are cruel so they'll find something else to pick on you for, but clear skin is very nice.

Anyway, my TV Drug can cause nausea, spontaneous human combustion, and liver failure. Pretty typical.

Have a nice day.
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Aesquire
Posted on Saturday, August 28, 2021 - 01:37 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

I am Very Skeptical about the bias and truth content of this Editorial. Can't say every word is true. Can't tell what triggered me to Caution You!!! about it. Tone? That Thinker has been fringe antivaxx?

So Caveat Emptor!

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/08/d id_the_fda_pull_a_baitandswitch_on_the_american_pe ople.html

I'm also uncertain about the Booster Shot, don't know yet if it's just a third dose of the previous same mRNA drug, or something different. A 3rd dose might be wise if you had no bad reaction and it will improve immunity. I'm aware this is EXPERIMENTAL, as much as a Common Cold vaccine, it's new technology for a difficult if not impossible type of virus to make vaccines for. It is Not Unusual to need multiple doses for effective vaccines, 2 is usual today, but for Rabies and others, more. ( one of the vaccinations I got targeted on Middle East diseases took 3 or more, back in 1979 )

In a different note, the combination of decrepitude, and hanging around with EMTs and ER & IC nurses, has me triggering or amusing the poor schlubs that have to ask us medical questions. They read off a string of Bad Things, like pain in joints and shortness of breath, and my return inevitably is like "you mean new pain, or organ failure, right?". Which gets reactions that often tell me how the rest of our interaction will go. : )
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Aesquire
Posted on Sunday, August 29, 2021 - 12:17 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/08/w e_could_have_dodged_the_covid_delta_bullet_in_the_ us.html

Not everyone who dies this year of CCP virus and it's mutations will be Joe's* fault. Just most.

It's frightening how many idiots or dishonest evil people there are. If you protest closing the border to diseased hordes and claim your political enemies are racist for wanting to control flights from Plague Hells, AND demand people get shots and wear masks or lose their livelihood & even go to prison, you are not someone I want to talk to.

There's a fundamental difference.

I suggest that masks to keep from spraying germs and vaccinations are a net positive. And admit I could be wrong. There are risks.

"They" demand obedience and never admit the possibility of error or risk.

One is evil. I don't think it's me.
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Aesquire
Posted on Monday, August 30, 2021 - 12:28 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/08/w hos_skipping_the_vaccine_the_answer_may_surprise_y ou.html

Since the Highly Educated are most Vaccine Hesitant, ( wonderful spin phrase, eh? ) I'm curious if there's an age curve there. Is there a graduation date where distrust of authority changes?

It would be awesome if more people looked at past performance on racial equality attitudes when voting.

Especially when one of the two Parties openly says that certain races are too stupid to function.

I'm mildly curious about the political views of the folk who ran this unethical experiment. I point out that it was originally supposed to treat all the infected subjects, but over time morphed into a highly unethical violation of the Nuremburg Code.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tuskegee_Syphilis_ Study

Ironically, it seems the political leanings of people who point to the crimes of the CDC have changed over the last year and 10 months.

Which reminds me! Only 2 more months until the 2 year anniversary of the release of Covid-19 from the lab in Wuhan China.

We should celebrate that with fireworks, like Guy Fawkes Day or bonfires, like Salem.
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Ebutch
Posted on Monday, August 30, 2021 - 01:29 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

joseph goebbels Repeat ANYTHING Enough & they Will Believe It !



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