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Froggy
Posted on Monday, October 24, 2011 - 07:48 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)


quote:

If we want to understand our new, third-world economy, there's no better place to start than our very own Harley-Davidson.

Harley is doing great. Its sales are up. Its profits are up. Its earnings are up.

It's doing very well, as are a lot of big corporations. Corporate profits are setting records, accounting for 88 percent of the economic growth over the past 18 months. Citibank, which, at one time, needed to be bailed out twice by us, reported a 74 percent increase in profits over the past three months.

Happy days are here again!

Or maybe not. Over the same period, unemployment is up and for those lucky enough to remain employed, wages are down.

Again, we need to look no further than Harley for an explanation of our economy and its aspirations to emulate South America or South Carolina.

Let's look at Harley.



Rest of the article here:
http://www.ydr.com/opinion/ci_19164404
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Rwven
Posted on Monday, October 24, 2011 - 08:18 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Here is the disconnect. Harley's stock price had already risen on the expectation that they were going to do even better than they did. When the numbers came in lower than expected the price dropped from the inflated high.
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Just_ziptab
Posted on Monday, October 24, 2011 - 08:49 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

I would hazard these guesses.

The people that can easily afford a 30K harley..have their eye on a bigger prize.With everything basically handed to them,they probably don't want anything to do with noise and chrome. Just wouldn't fit in with the snooty neighbors/lifestyle.

The non struggling average working man buys the 30K harley.......and he is not non struggling anymore.

Honda will be making hula hoops in the harley factories soon enuf.
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Whatever
Posted on Monday, October 24, 2011 - 09:19 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Ask those people that got let go how this great new Harley is...
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Court
Posted on Monday, October 24, 2011 - 09:44 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

>>>>The people that can easily afford a 30K harley..have their eye on a bigger prize.With everything basically handed to them

How do you decide that folks who can easily afford a 30K bike have everything "basically handed to them".

Do you think a person who rides a TW200 and makes $2.4M a year works hard or has everything handed to them?

What about a person who makes $65,000,000 a year?

3 of my neighbors have purchased Ferraris in the last year . . they are the 3 hardest working folks I know. I wouldn't touch their jobs.

But they have never had ANYTHING handed to them . . they work their asses off.
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Hybridmomentspass
Posted on Monday, October 24, 2011 - 09:53 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

great post court (and I really wish I could live in your neighborhood)
Youre right, its silly to make assumptions that cause someone has a $30k motorcycle that everything has been handed to them.

And lets not forget the fact that not all HDs are 30k, many are around half of that. But whatever.

Now cue Blake calling me a cheerleader....
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Danger_dave
Posted on Monday, October 24, 2011 - 10:09 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Yeah. My wife works extreeeeely hard for everything I have.
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Court
Posted on Monday, October 24, 2011 - 11:00 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Ditto

:-)
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Just_ziptab
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 12:05 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

What I mean is.....not that they don't work hard............but that after work,they buy everything, They don't fix their car or wash it,don't cook,don't do laundry,don't pay bills,don't mow the yard,don't repair their home,don't cut firewood for their fire pit...they hire out everything............

and have no interest in a petty $30K motorcycle.

I suppose it's OK to live like that and even if I could....I wouldn't.
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Boogiman1981
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 06:28 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

how do you know if you don't have the ability to choose that lifestyle? as for those that don't do the 'house work' you ever think it's because they don't have the actual time for it? the execs that i know don't more often than not they pull longer days than me then have after work stuff to do as well. not to mention the charity dinners events and 'other community' stuff they do. seriously theres not one single exec that i've ever known that put in less than 60hrs a week. most more than that. the 40hr weeks most of us get would be a vacation for those guys.
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Oldog
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 07:51 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

HD has a recall on specific models years '09 - '12 issues with the brakes,
so much for stellar US manufactuering..
hey until the problem surfaced I wonder how much the bean counters thought they saved.

The arguments are devisive, there are a lot of folks who make 30~40K per year that also work their tails off.....

All have seen their earnings steadily erode. Prices for food energy and TAXES have climbed.
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Hootowl
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 09:26 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

How can they hire everything out and still pay no bills? I'm doing something wrong.
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Gregtonn
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 10:07 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

http://www.foxnews.com/leisure/2011/10/24/harley-d avidson-recalling-308000-motorcycles-for-possible- brake-failure/?intcmp=trending

Because the post is by Fox News some may claim its not true.

G
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Hootowl
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 10:11 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

It's an AP article though. Same one all the others are carrying.
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Court
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 10:17 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

>>>Because the post is by Fox News some may claim its not true.



Duh. It hit over 100 wire services yesterday. Choose the one that suits your political hankering . . .,


quote:

News: harley recall
Harley to recall more than 308,000 motorcyclesDETROIT (AP) -- Harley-Davidson Inc. is recalling about 308,000 motorcycles to fix a switch problem that can cause failure of the brake lights and possibly…Yahoo Finance· 14 hours ago Harley recalls about 308,000 motorcycles for brake issueUSA Today UPDATE 2-Harley-Davidson to recall over 300,000 motorcyclesReuters UK See also: More related stories · Today's top stories · Related blogs.HARLEY DAVIDSON Recall ID: 757 - for HARLEY DAVIDSON
HARLEY DAVIDSON Recall ID: 757 - Vehicle Safety Recall Information for HARLEY DAVIDSON

www.allworldauto.com/recalls/harley_davidson_recal ls_7-1.htmlHarley-Davidson to recall over 300,000 motorcycles - Yahoo! …1 day ago
(Reuters) - Harley-Davidson Inc said it would recall about 308,474 motorcycles in the United States and overseas due to problems with the rear brake light switch. The ...

finance.yahoo.com/news/HarleyDavidson-to-recall-ov er-rb-1197655399.html?x=0&.v=1 · Cached pageHarley-Davidson recalls over 300,000 motorcycles15 hours ago
Milwaukee - Harley-Davidson has initiated a recall of over 300,000 motorcycles due to a faulty switch problem which can cause failure of the brake lights to work ...

www.digitaljournal.com/article/313309Harley to recall more than 308,000 motorcycles | 7online.com39 minutes ago
DETROIT -- Harley-Davidson Inc. is recalling about 308,000 motorcycles to fix a switch problem that can cause failure of the brake lights and possibly even the rear ...

abclocal.go.com/wabc/story?section=news/consumer/r ecalls&id=8404825Harley-Davidson Recall: Harley-Davidson voluntarily recalls …3 hours ago
Oct 24, 2011 · Harley-Davidson voluntarily recalls more than 300,000 touring motorcycles Recall due to problems with the rear brake light switch

www.kdvr.com/news/witi-20111024-harleydavidson-rec all,0,4398022.story?track=rss


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Boogiman1981
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 10:36 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Hoot yeah i'm with you not in the budget to hire it out. i can tell you right this moment if i could afford to i would excepting the rare occasion that i felt like it. to me that's not being lazy that's making time to do other things of higher interest or higher reward.
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Hybridmomentspass
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 11:50 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

"What I mean is.....not that they don't work hard............but that after work,they buy everything, They don't fix their car or wash it,don't cook,don't do laundry,don't pay bills,don't mow the yard,don't repair their home,don't cut firewood for their fire pit...they hire out everything............ "

And?

As far as the 'dont pay their bills" part - did you mean to type that?

Yeah, so they dont do their own yardwork or fixing of their vehicles, so what?
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Blake
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 12:52 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

The author of the topical article is either really ignorant or willfully misleading.

Improving upon dismal performance doesn't justify over-valuation of any enterprise. Publicly held corporations publicly declare expected earnings. When they fall short of their own predicted performance, the stock price rightly drops. The author of the article bizarrely neglects that incredibly pertinent fact.

Performance talks; lame excuses walk. The HOG P/E (profit to earnings ratio) currently sit just over 20, not at all a conservative valuation. In fact where I sit, it seems over-valued. It's a nostalgia stock. The P/E of Ford stock for instance is currently just over 7.

Ford is literally rocking the industry with their product line innovation, value and performance; see "Eco-Boost." Conversely, Harley's plan seems to be to ditch advancement in performance, shun younger riders and more performance oriented market segments and focus instead on high priced "custom" hogs. Would that they had mustered the integrity and foresight to invest in such high end American sport bike products.


quote:

It would be fair to imagine that the person who can afford a $30,000 motorcycle is the kind of person who makes predictions about how much companies such as Harley are supposed to make by pulling figures out of an orifice. The kind of person who works in the segment of the economy that led to this economy being so lousy. The kind of person who believes the free market cures all ills, but relied on government handouts and bailouts to remain wealthy. The kind of person who would be described as a 21st century welfare queen.

These are the vaunted "job creators" we keep hearing about.




Nothing but ignorance and class warfare. The guy appears to be a Marxist. I know MANY good hard working folks who can afford to spend $30K on a motorcycle. Some will own the bike for a decade or more, and they save up and pay cash when they purchase a new one. They are builders, contractors, plumbers, machinists, engineers, entrepreneurs, restaurant owners, the folks living the American dream. True, I don't know any Marxist propagandists who could afford $30K for a new bike.

Bitter dishonest people suck.
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Blake
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 12:59 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)


quote:

Harley is going to continue to squeeze as much work out of as few people as possible as cheaply as it can so that it can make tons of money for people at the top of the economic food-chain so they can afford to buy $30,000 motorcycles, but are unable to because Harley doesn't have enough people to make them.

And if that doesn't sum up our third-world, 21st century economy, nothing does.




Yep, ignorant bitter Marxist. No doubt about it.

Or maybe he bought a load of HOG at $45/share three months ago looking to make big profit.

Then he'd be a greedy ignorant bitter Marxist. Too funny.
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Blake
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 01:06 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

HMP,

Actually, some are 1/3rd or less the cost of a $30K CVO hog bike. Some are even more, nearer to $40K.

If I trusted the integrity of the corporation and valued their vision, I'd be interested in one for comfy two-up riding, couch style.
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Blake
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 01:34 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

This is what passes for excellence in advertising at Harley-Davidson these days:


quote:

About Harley-Davidson Dyna® Street Bob®

The 2012 Harley-Davidson Dyna Street Bob FXDB is a classic bobber motorcycle. If you're looking for bobber motorcycles you'll like the Street Bob's slammed solo bobber seat. ... The bobber appearance... ...you have a classic bobber motorcycle look. ...the classic bobber motorcycle style. ...the Harley Street Bob...



Apparently the Harley-Davidson "Street Bob" is a "bobber" motorcycle that also offers "bobber" appearance, a "bobber" look, a "bobber" seat, and --sit down for this one-- "bobber" styling. <gasp!> I know; unbelievable isn't it? How do they do it?!? What will they achieve next?!? Surely cold fusion isn't far from their reach!

As pertains to a motorcycle, I don't even know what the heck "bobber" means. I suspect that only those familiar with Harley or antique motorcycle design culture may.
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Jb2
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 01:46 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

Blake,

When WWII vets came home from the war they often bobbed or chopped the fenders to change the appearance. Hence the names "bobber" and "chopper" names for many custom motorcycles.
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Moxnix
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 03:36 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

There goes Fat Bob on his Fat Bob.
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Just_ziptab
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 06:32 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

How can they hire everything out and still pay no bills? I'm doing something wrong.

The accountant handles all the bill paying.........
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Just_ziptab
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 07:18 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

40hr weeks most of us get would be a vacation for those guys.

FWIW....I worked 52.5 hours a week straight time for nearly the first 1/3 of my working career......and then it ramped up to 65 hours a week with OT pay for many years on end. 70 to 79 hours some weeks... way too often. Never hit 80 hrs but I did hit 23.5 hours straight at a previous job.The upper 70's weeks were usually 7 day runs.....29 days straight being my record.A few days,no time for even a break,except the microwave breakfast I brought in with me in the A.M. Nobody bakes a cake for me(single) and I still managed to get all the home owning chores done with out hiring out..except getting the mail,since they were always closed when I got back home.Epileptic friend would get it for me and take it to my house. Now I work 40's...management wanted us to"have a life". Production crew works 4/tens and I work 5/eights....and it ain't a leather chair job...........sub zero outdoor work and 117° crows nest and cablevey repairs.

I've earned over a million dollars....trouble is,multi millionaire look down their nose at us mere millionaires....

Not bragging,not complaining.....just saying I've been there.
Love my job....

Now then,would Keith Wandell ride a $30K harley if he was still at Johnson Controls?
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Kenm123t
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 07:28 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

No he didnt ride before.
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Whatever
Posted on Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 09:11 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

A bobber is what you get when you throw a guy with no arms and no legs into the ocean... DUH !!!
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Hybridmomentspass
Posted on Wednesday, October 26, 2011 - 09:10 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

"HMP,

Actually, some are 1/3rd or less the cost of a $30K CVO hog bike. Some are even more, nearer to $40K. "

Aware and thank you, maybe that'll help set some people straight on this whole "ALL HARLEYS ARE 25k+!" crap
A new sportster can be had for like 7 or 8 grand, few are over the 30k mark the poster above mentioned
And yes, I do know of the CVO Electras that are REALLY high priced. With SILLY options, do you REALLY need remote locks on your tourpack? And how much extra are they charging for a HD branded ipod?

Again, super nice motorcycles, my father has a 09 Electra and I absolutely love it. CC, ABS, so comfy
But over 30k is wild
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Court
Posted on Wednesday, October 26, 2011 - 09:25 am:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

The problem is that the geniuses lack capacity to build the profitable touring bikes in York and were "forced" to build low profit Sportsters in Kansas City.

You really couldn't dream up some of the silly tales that are coming out of Juneau . . we'll be hearing more.

I still want my "sunny place" in the KC facility next to the 40,000 SF space Porsche was going to rent. There is a hilarious story about Buell and the Kansas City plant.
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Blake
Posted on Thursday, October 27, 2011 - 03:13 pm:   Edit Post Delete Post View Post/Check IP Print Post    Move Post (Custodian/Admin Only) Ban Poster IP (Custodian/Admin only)

No there isn't.
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